| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.79 | 51.2% | 50.56 | 52.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.02 | 49.3% | 27.10 | 49.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.70 | 50.3% | 45.13 | 48.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.83 | 49.7% | 42.69 | 50.8% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.87 | 48.2% | 19.68 | 48.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.23 | 51.6% | 31.08 | 47.6% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.57 | 48.7% | 16.36 | 49.2% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 128.45 | 46.7% | 60.00 | 48.3% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LBSF over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →