| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.18 | 52.6% | 54.78 | 53.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.21 | 48.0% | 27.46 | 51.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.84 | 46.6% | 24.18 | 52.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.48 | 53.1% | 39.01 | 54.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.07 | 46.8% | 40.24 | 52.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.29 | 53.7% | 28.59 | 54.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.54 | 52.6% | 17.11 | 53.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.92 | 47.2% | 22.63 | 52.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.11 | 45.4% | 44.11 | 53.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.20 | 43.9% | 10.63 | 55.8% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LROP over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →