| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.12 | 49.4% | 12.90 | 50.3% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.86 | 50.6% | 14.09 | 50.9% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.74 | 49.3% | 16.65 | 50.2% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.47 | 48.7% | 9.48 | 51.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.20 | 47.6% | 30.58 | 51.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.53 | 46.6% | 8.17 | 53.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.33 | 46.1% | 12.13 | 53.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.11 | 45.3% | 15.46 | 54.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.97 | 43.7% | 44.08 | 55.1% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EDDF over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →