| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.66 | 50.9% | 7.47 | 48.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.89 | 48.9% | 14.12 | 49.2% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 43.51 | 48.0% | 20.87 | 48.5% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.70 | 52.3% | 11.35 | 47.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.26 | 51.5% | 23.80 | 48.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.17 | 49.8% | 43.40 | 49.1% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.49 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 51.3% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.08 | 51.3% | 15.95 | 48.3% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.36 | 50.1% | 33.74 | 49.1% |
The condition is on the daily low at station EDDF over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →