| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.12 | 51.0% | 36.78 | 48.1% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.99 | 49.6% | 18.36 | 49.9% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.46 | 50.3% | 20.36 | 50.8% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.30 | 49.4% | 14.98 | 49.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.57 | 50.6% | 13.95 | 49.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.57 | 49.6% | 26.56 | 49.8% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LIPZ over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →