| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.81 | 50.0% | 17.41 | 49.5% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.98 | 48.9% | 59.64 | 50.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.54 | 52.0% | 27.82 | 47.4% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.82 | 51.1% | 8.59 | 48.7% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.54 | 48.6% | 19.71 | 49.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.43 | 47.4% | 25.82 | 48.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.34 | 52.8% | 17.09 | 46.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.72 | 46.5% | 40.31 | 47.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.37 | 53.9% | 30.91 | 45.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.54 | 52.9% | 13.50 | 46.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.51 | 51.7% | 34.39 | 47.5% |
The condition is on the daily high at station MDSD over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →