| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.95 | 49.2% | 15.22 | 49.6% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.73 | 47.7% | 40.91 | 48.8% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.32 | 46.0% | 24.07 | 46.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.87 | 54.4% | 11.35 | 45.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.28 | 45.2% | 22.75 | 45.9% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.16 | 44.3% | 12.03 | 44.6% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.13 | 43.2% | 26.41 | 44.0% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.70 | 57.3% | 10.72 | 42.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.65 | 41.4% | 51.60 | 42.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.79 | 59.9% | 9.46 | 39.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 156.20 | 38.4% | 60.00 | 40.3% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 173.42 | 34.6% | 60.00 | 36.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 196.43 | 30.5% | 60.00 | 32.7% |
The condition is on the daily high at station MDSD over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →