| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.94 | 49.8% | 32.84 | 49.4% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.17 | 48.5% | 20.43 | 51.0% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.61 | 51.2% | 35.14 | 52.1% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.79 | 49.3% | 13.21 | 50.4% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.32 | 48.7% | 9.90 | 51.0% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.22 | 51.3% | 9.35 | 51.5% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.99 | 48.6% | 11.18 | 51.1% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.65 | 50.9% | 31.37 | 51.7% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.10 | 49.3% | 33.55 | 50.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.15 | 51.4% | 8.30 | 48.4% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.79 | 48.0% | 31.58 | 48.8% |
The condition is on the daily low at station EETN over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-11-12 22:00 UTC on the next hourly run.