| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.90 | 49.6% | 24.27 | 50.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.47 | 47.4% | 60.00 | 49.0% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.92 | 53.2% | 40.90 | 45.9% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.76 | 51.7% | 19.54 | 47.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.32 | 48.4% | 13.70 | 48.7% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.71 | 47.4% | 23.56 | 48.0% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.08 | 46.2% | 21.29 | 46.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.96 | 45.4% | 9.96 | 45.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.76 | 44.2% | 33.45 | 45.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.08 | 42.7% | 17.97 | 43.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.91 | 40.6% | 52.77 | 42.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 146.76 | 37.3% | 54.79 | 39.1% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 164.73 | 33.8% | 55.63 | 35.6% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 201.26 | 29.8% | 60.00 | 31.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 235.67 | 25.5% | 60.00 | 27.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 288.05 | 20.8% | 60.00 | 23.3% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LBSF over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →