| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.08 | 47.8% | 20.11 | 51.7% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.01 | 52.1% | 26.06 | 52.7% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.08 | 48.2% | 12.57 | 51.5% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.45 | 50.7% | 60.00 | 52.1% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.83 | 50.5% | 15.05 | 49.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.00 | 49.6% | 20.32 | 49.9% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.89 | 50.3% | 24.61 | 50.9% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.28 | 49.7% | 23.98 | 49.7% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.09 | 49.6% | 53.59 | 50.9% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.18 | 51.4% | 17.04 | 48.2% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LBSF over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →