| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.29 | 49.7% | 21.52 | 49.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.25 | 48.2% | 36.76 | 50.8% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.88 | 51.9% | 33.18 | 52.7% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.86 | 50.9% | 11.12 | 51.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.89 | 49.1% | 13.68 | 50.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.13 | 47.7% | 37.76 | 51.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 133.09 | 45.1% | 60.00 | 53.3% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LROP over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →