| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.06 | 49.1% | 7.88 | 49.3% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.09 | 49.9% | 49.43 | 48.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.88 | 48.4% | 9.62 | 51.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.70 | 51.7% | 7.08 | 51.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.51 | 47.4% | 42.87 | 51.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.67 | 45.8% | 17.24 | 53.8% |
The condition is on the daily low at station EDDF over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →