| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.81 | 45.5% | 9.01 | 54.3% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.13 | 44.6% | 24.12 | 54.8% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.81 | 54.8% | 58.52 | 56.1% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.68 | 45.5% | 36.29 | 53.5% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 127.17 | 43.0% | 54.68 | 55.4% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.21 | 40.9% | 18.49 | 58.6% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EHAM over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →