| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.22 | 48.3% | 60.00 | 49.9% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.34 | 52.5% | 31.16 | 46.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.05 | 51.5% | 10.33 | 48.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.95 | 48.4% | 12.56 | 48.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.84 | 51.6% | 14.87 | 48.1% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.35 | 48.0% | 29.00 | 48.8% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.03 | 46.7% | 22.89 | 47.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.57 | 45.6% | 18.04 | 46.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.42 | 44.5% | 22.86 | 45.1% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 142.58 | 42.1% | 60.00 | 43.8% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LFLL over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →