| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.10 | 49.6% | 20.39 | 49.9% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.60 | 48.5% | 22.13 | 50.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.63 | 51.6% | 17.36 | 52.0% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.83 | 50.3% | 35.14 | 51.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.56 | 50.0% | 21.78 | 49.5% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.79 | 49.1% | 13.16 | 50.5% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.58 | 48.2% | 24.36 | 51.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.46 | 47.0% | 18.56 | 52.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.44 | 53.1% | 13.52 | 53.5% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LFLL over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →