| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.39 | 44.1% | 42.48 | 45.3% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.03 | 56.8% | 15.35 | 42.9% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.95 | 55.7% | 33.95 | 43.5% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.31 | 44.5% | 19.72 | 45.1% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.71 | 43.5% | 16.40 | 44.0% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.30 | 42.7% | 9.96 | 43.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.58 | 41.1% | 44.67 | 42.5% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.07 | 38.5% | 42.03 | 39.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 170.01 | 35.3% | 60.00 | 37.2% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 191.79 | 31.3% | 60.00 | 33.4% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 222.03 | 27.0% | 60.00 | 29.2% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LFMN over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →