| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.03 | 51.3% | 30.30 | 52.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.97 | 49.3% | 52.21 | 50.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.93 | 50.8% | 51.76 | 47.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.28 | 49.8% | 26.55 | 50.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.66 | 49.3% | 60.00 | 49.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.45 | 51.6% | 26.02 | 52.2% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LSGG over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →