| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.29 | 51.1% | 20.58 | 48.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.10 | 48.7% | 28.77 | 49.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.50 | 46.3% | 60.00 | 47.9% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.05 | 54.4% | 38.11 | 44.7% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.44 | 52.7% | 35.02 | 46.5% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.26 | 51.3% | 24.24 | 48.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.63 | 50.1% | 24.36 | 49.3% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.41 | 50.1% | 17.73 | 50.5% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.03 | 49.4% | 38.54 | 49.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.16 | 51.3% | 13.41 | 51.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.79 | 50.0% | 37.39 | 50.9% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LPPR over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →