| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.99 | 81.4% | 47.21 | 18.2% |
| 71 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.64 | 80.4% | 60.00 | 19.0% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.79 | 79.2% | 60.00 | 20.2% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.27 | 77.9% | 55.54 | 21.5% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.31 | 76.6% | 60.00 | 22.7% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.89 | 75.3% | 51.11 | 24.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →