| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.43 | 82.7% | 57.44 | 16.8% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.03 | 81.7% | 55.60 | 17.8% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.97 | 80.7% | 58.05 | 18.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.49 | 79.5% | 60.00 | 19.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →