| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 140.50 | 42.7% | 60.00 | 55.6% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.52 | 58.8% | 10.30 | 59.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.81 | 40.7% | 24.74 | 58.6% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.21 | 59.8% | 12.09 | 60.1% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.22 | 58.9% | 31.94 | 59.6% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.33 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 58.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →