| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.76 | 84.6% | 12.49 | 15.3% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.74 | 84.2% | 34.32 | 15.5% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.11 | 83.8% | 17.70 | 16.0% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.05 | 83.6% | 15.92 | 16.3% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.05 | 83.3% | 18.36 | 16.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.64 | 82.6% | 60.00 | 16.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.09 | 81.9% | 19.73 | 17.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.66 | 81.5% | 28.23 | 18.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →