| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.71 | 46.1% | 39.50 | 52.9% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.50 | 44.5% | 17.59 | 55.0% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.76 | 43.7% | 13.43 | 56.0% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.84 | 42.7% | 21.69 | 56.7% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.76 | 57.6% | 17.14 | 58.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.43 | 56.9% | 13.91 | 57.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.99 | 56.5% | 7.90 | 56.6% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.14 | 55.8% | 21.29 | 56.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →