| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.26 | 50.0% | 37.62 | 50.9% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.83 | 48.3% | 30.32 | 49.0% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.19 | 47.1% | 12.35 | 47.5% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.51 | 52.7% | 19.25 | 46.8% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.08 | 46.9% | 32.38 | 47.7% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.29 | 53.5% | 21.02 | 46.0% |
The condition is on the daily low at station NFFN over its local calendar day 2026-11-13 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →