| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.79 | 64.7% | 47.06 | 34.5% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.06 | 62.9% | 49.11 | 36.2% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.64 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 38.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.74 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 40.4% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.47 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 42.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →