| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.74 | 54.9% | 30.03 | 55.5% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.26 | 44.9% | 33.78 | 54.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.35 | 55.4% | 31.19 | 56.0% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.67 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 54.7% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.05 | 51.5% | 12.91 | 51.9% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.83 | 48.5% | 11.55 | 51.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.27 | 47.7% | 17.31 | 51.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →