| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.61 | 67.5% | 26.08 | 32.0% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.71 | 32.0% | 27.07 | 32.9% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.48 | 68.8% | 8.59 | 31.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.82 | 30.3% | 27.85 | 31.3% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.77 | 28.2% | 32.09 | 29.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →