| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.94 | 60.1% | 51.62 | 38.9% |
| 53 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.23 | 58.5% | 24.71 | 41.0% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.39 | 57.5% | 22.09 | 42.0% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 131.27 | 41.3% | 54.26 | 42.9% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.65 | 59.0% | 60.00 | 39.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →