| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.36 | 74.8% | 11.48 | 25.1% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.27 | 73.8% | 60.00 | 25.4% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.79 | 72.3% | 54.07 | 27.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.39 | 70.9% | 41.42 | 28.5% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.42 | 69.4% | 60.00 | 29.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →