| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.09 | 49.5% | 60.00 | 51.1% |
| 63 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.92 | 47.1% | 34.83 | 48.0% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.59 | 45.5% | 26.64 | 46.2% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.78 | 54.5% | 32.59 | 44.7% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.62 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.2% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.00 | 50.1% | 32.57 | 49.1% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.99 | 49.2% | 60.00 | 50.7% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.44 | 51.5% | 32.70 | 47.7% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.57 | 50.4% | 15.90 | 49.2% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.33 | 49.5% | 17.99 | 50.0% |
The condition is on the daily low at station LLBG over its local calendar day 2026-11-13 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-11-13 22:00 UTC on the next hourly run.