| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.94 | 43.1% | 8.17 | 43.4% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.20 | 41.8% | 37.30 | 42.9% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 154.27 | 38.9% | 60.00 | 40.7% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 170.90 | 35.1% | 60.00 | 37.1% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 193.00 | 31.1% | 60.00 | 33.2% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 223.75 | 26.8% | 60.00 | 29.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 269.40 | 22.3% | 60.00 | 24.7% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LEMD over its local calendar day 2026-11-13 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-11-13 23:00 UTC on the next hourly run.