| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 25.64 | 50.1% | 12.85 | 50.4% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.55 | 49.5% | 27.50 | 49.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.26 | 49.7% | 59.75 | 51.2% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 128.82 | 46.6% | 60.00 | 48.2% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.91 | 43.6% | 47.10 | 45.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.42 | 42.0% | 11.93 | 42.3% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.76 | 41.1% | 19.20 | 41.6% |
The condition is on the daily high at station GMMN over its local calendar day 2026-11-13 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →