| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.17 | 72.1% | 60.00 | 27.0% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.20 | 70.4% | 60.00 | 28.7% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.35 | 69.2% | 18.94 | 30.5% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.80 | 68.5% | 27.27 | 31.1% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.79 | 67.9% | 9.37 | 31.9% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 161.67 | 30.5% | 49.28 | 32.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.02 | 70.8% | 29.74 | 28.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.90 | 70.1% | 18.15 | 29.7% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.57 | 29.5% | 19.93 | 30.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →