| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.81 | 74.1% | 39.16 | 25.3% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.77 | 73.2% | 31.32 | 26.4% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.67 | 72.5% | 22.96 | 27.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.56 | 72.0% | 9.05 | 27.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.67 | 27.0% | 30.12 | 28.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.48 | 73.7% | 30.58 | 25.9% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.60 | 73.1% | 16.52 | 26.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →