Buenos Aires growing degree days · Week 47 · Nov 16 - Nov 22
Growing degree days at SAEZ · 7 local days, 2026-11-16 to 2026-11-22 · trading closes 11-22 03:00 (8 d)
- Model fair
- 80.5 ± 9.3
- priced 23 min ago
- Edge
- -6.1
- fair minus market
- Volume
- 618
- 14 traders
- Open interest
- 511 / 716
- long / short shares
Real-asset futures that follow this index
simulated pricesEach contract below is a commodity price index the demo simulates: 100 on the day it was listed, moved by this contract's GDD and by a simulated market factor. Weather-implied is the price at the index this market is trading at now; when it differs from the asset's own market price, simulated spread traders trade the two against each other.
| Contract | Market price | Weather-implied | Gap | Per 1% of index | Hedge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOYB-SAEZ-26W47Soybeans | 102.45long 55¢ | 102.63 | -0.18 | -0.50% | 0.81 long per long share |
How the index builds, day by day
Each bar is one local day's contribution to the index. Days on the final record count as they stand; the rest are the model's estimate, with a whisker one standard deviation either way.
Day-by-day table
| Day | Source | High | Low | GDD | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 16 | Forecast | 24.8°C | 19.4°C | 12.1 ± 1.9 | 12.1 |
| Tue, Nov 17 | Forecast | 27.5°C | 18.7°C | 13.0 ± 1.9 | 25.1 |
| Wed, Nov 18 | Forecast | 30.0°C | 18.6°C | 13.8 ± 1.7 | 38.9 |
| Thu, Nov 19 | Forecast | 29.1°C | 18.8°C | 13.6 ± 2.0 | 52.5 |
| Fri, Nov 20 | Forecast | 20.3°C | 14.8°C | 7.6 ± 2.5 | 60.1 |
| Sat, Nov 21 | Forecast | 24.5°C | 13.9°C | 9.3 ± 2.6 | 69.4 |
| Sun, Nov 22 | Forecast | 23.7°C | 18.6°C | 11.1 ± 3.0 | 80.5 |
Market index path
one step per trade · dashed line: model fair nowRecent trades
| Time | Trade | Shares | Amount | Avg price | Index after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 19:50 | Buy short | 112.32 | 60.00 | 53.4¢ | 86.6 |
| 11-13 18:50 | Buy short | 58.51 | 30.01 | 51.3¢ | 88.6 |
| 11-13 17:50 | Buy shortpair | 30.15 | 15.13 | 50.2¢ | 89.6 |
| 11-13 14:50 | Buy short | 93.15 | 45.31 | 48.6¢ | 90.1 |
| 11-13 10:50 | Buy shortpair | 23.31 | 11.00 | 47.2¢ | 91.8 |
| 11-13 09:50 | Buy long | 41.59 | 21.87 | 52.6¢ | 92.2 |
| 11-13 07:50 | Buy long | 70.83 | 36.25 | 51.2¢ | 91.4 |
| 11-13 06:50 | Buy shortpair | 15.76 | 7.80 | 49.5¢ | 90.2 |
| 11-13 06:50 | Buy long | 70.43 | 35.08 | 49.8¢ | 90.5 |
| 11-13 01:50 | Buy long | 126.72 | 60.00 | 47.3¢ | 89.3 |
| 11-12 23:50 | Buy longpair | 18.09 | 8.24 | 45.5¢ | 87.0 |
| 11-12 22:50 | Buy long | 53.24 | 23.78 | 44.7¢ | 86.7 |
| 11-12 21:50 | Buy longpair | 15.38 | 6.74 | 43.8¢ | 85.8 |
| 11-12 20:50 | Buy longpair | 10.85 | 4.72 | 43.5¢ | 85.5 |
| 11-12 20:50 | Buy short | 86.22 | 47.92 | 55.6¢ | 85.4 |
A trade marked pair is one leg of a simulated spread trade: the other leg is in a real-asset contract that follows this index.
Settlement
This contract settles on the sum of the station's daily records, as soon as the oracle marks all 7 days final and settleable - no earlier than 11-23 06:00. If a day of the period cannot settle, the contract is void and every position is refunded at cost.
Contract specification
- Symbol
- GDD-SAEZ-26W47
- Index
- Growing degree days (GDD), in °C-days
- Formula
- (high + low) / 2 - 10 with both held to 10..30 °C, summed over the period
- Station
- SAEZ · Buenos Aires
- Period
- Week 47 · Nov 16 - Nov 22 · 7 local days, 2026-11-16 to 2026-11-22
- Band
- 55 to 125
- Payoff
- Long: (index - 55) / 70 sUSDT per share, held to 0..1. Short: 1 minus that.
- Point value
- 0.0143 sUSDT per share per index point
- Trading closes
- 2026-11-22 03:00 UTC
- Settles from
- 2026-11-23 06:00 UTC
- Settlement source
- The station's daily record, final and settleable, from the Weather Market oracle
- Hedges
- Agriculture - Soybeans, Corn, Wheat (the exposure it hedges; this contract settles on the index)
Long gains if GDD finishes above the level you pay for.
Virtual sUSDT only. No monetary value.
- Long gains when the index finishes higher, short when it finishes lower. A long and a short share together always pay 1 sUSDT.
- Outside the band 55 to 125 the contract pays as if the index had finished on the edge.
- You pay in full when you buy. What you paid is the most you can lose: no margin, no liquidation.
- You can sell back to the market maker at any time before trading closes, when the last day of the period begins.
- Void, with every position refunded at cost, if any day of the period cannot settle on the record.