Buenos Aires growing degree days · Week 48 · Nov 23 - Nov 29
Growing degree days at SAEZ · 7 local days, 2026-11-23 to 2026-11-29 · trading closes 11-29 03:00 (15 d)
- Model fair
- 61.2 ± 14.5
- priced 23 min ago
- Edge
- -7.1
- fair minus market
- Volume
- 432
- 12 traders
- Open interest
- 458 / 403
- long / short shares
Real-asset futures that follow this index
simulated pricesEach contract below is a commodity price index the demo simulates: 100 on the day it was listed, moved by this contract's GDD and by a simulated market factor. Weather-implied is the price at the index this market is trading at now; when it differs from the asset's own market price, simulated spread traders trade the two against each other.
| Contract | Market price | Weather-implied | Gap | Per 1% of index | Hedge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOYB-SAEZ-26W48Soybeans | 98.35long 48¢ | 97.23 | +1.12 | -0.50% | 0.90 long per long share |
How the index builds, day by day
Each bar is one local day's contribution to the index. Days on the final record count as they stand; the rest are the model's estimate, with a whisker one standard deviation either way.
Day-by-day table
| Day | Source | High | Low | GDD | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 23 | Forecast | 22.5°C | 17.4°C | 9.9 ± 3.2 | 9.9 |
| Tue, Nov 24 | Forecast | 19.4°C | 14.2°C | 6.9 ± 3.2 | 16.9 |
| Wed, Nov 25 | Forecast | 20.6°C | 12.5°C | 6.9 ± 3.2 | 23.8 |
| Thu, Nov 26 | Forecast | 21.3°C | 12.8°C | 7.4 ± 3.4 | 31.2 |
| Fri, Nov 27 | Forecast | 25.5°C | 16.4°C | 10.8 ± 3.7 | 42.0 |
| Sat, Nov 28 | Forecast | 25.4°C | 16.5°C | 10.8 ± 3.8 | 52.8 |
| Sun, Nov 29 | Beyond the forecast | 21.3°C | 15.1°C | 8.4 ± 4.0 | 61.2 |
Market index path
one step per trade · dashed line: model fair nowRecent trades
| Time | Trade | Shares | Amount | Avg price | Index after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 18:50 | Buy short | 43.89 | 20.40 | 46.5¢ | 68.3 |
| 11-13 17:50 | Buy long | 27.64 | 14.85 | 53.7¢ | 69.5 |
| 11-13 12:50 | Buy shortpair | 18.95 | 8.79 | 46.4¢ | 68.7 |
| 11-13 12:50 | Buy short | 75.02 | 33.92 | 45.2¢ | 69.2 |
| 11-13 11:50 | Buy short | 54.99 | 23.98 | 43.6¢ | 71.3 |
| 11-13 08:50 | Buy long | 94.21 | 52.67 | 55.9¢ | 72.8 |
| 11-13 07:50 | Buy long | 36.40 | 19.76 | 54.3¢ | 70.2 |
| 11-13 00:50 | Buy long | 114.48 | 60.00 | 52.4¢ | 69.2 |
| 11-12 23:50 | Buy longpair | 17.73 | 9.00 | 50.8¢ | 66.1 |
| 11-12 22:50 | Buy longpair | 18.96 | 9.54 | 50.3¢ | 65.6 |
| 11-12 18:50 | Buy shortpair | 27.83 | 13.80 | 49.6¢ | 65.1 |
| 11-12 18:50 | Buy short | 43.04 | 20.96 | 48.7¢ | 65.8 |
| 11-12 13:50 | Buy shortpair | 18.55 | 8.89 | 47.9¢ | 67.0 |
| 11-12 11:50 | Buy short | 22.69 | 10.76 | 47.4¢ | 67.5 |
| 11-12 10:50 | Buy short | 35.27 | 16.47 | 46.7¢ | 68.2 |
A trade marked pair is one leg of a simulated spread trade: the other leg is in a real-asset contract that follows this index.
Settlement
This contract settles on the sum of the station's daily records, as soon as the oracle marks all 7 days final and settleable - no earlier than 11-30 06:00. If a day of the period cannot settle, the contract is void and every position is refunded at cost.
Contract specification
- Symbol
- GDD-SAEZ-26W48
- Index
- Growing degree days (GDD), in °C-days
- Formula
- (high + low) / 2 - 10 with both held to 10..30 °C, summed over the period
- Station
- SAEZ · Buenos Aires
- Period
- Week 48 · Nov 23 - Nov 29 · 7 local days, 2026-11-23 to 2026-11-29
- Band
- 10 to 120
- Payoff
- Long: (index - 10) / 110 sUSDT per share, held to 0..1. Short: 1 minus that.
- Point value
- 0.0091 sUSDT per share per index point
- Trading closes
- 2026-11-29 03:00 UTC
- Settles from
- 2026-11-30 06:00 UTC
- Settlement source
- The station's daily record, final and settleable, from the Weather Market oracle
- Hedges
- Agriculture - Soybeans, Corn, Wheat (the exposure it hedges; this contract settles on the index)
Long gains if GDD finishes above the level you pay for.
Virtual sUSDT only. No monetary value.
- Long gains when the index finishes higher, short when it finishes lower. A long and a short share together always pay 1 sUSDT.
- Outside the band 10 to 120 the contract pays as if the index had finished on the edge.
- You pay in full when you buy. What you paid is the most you can lose: no margin, no liquidation.
- You can sell back to the market maker at any time before trading closes, when the last day of the period begins.
- Void, with every position refunded at cost, if any day of the period cannot settle on the record.