Buenos Aires growing degree days · November 2026
Growing degree days at SAEZ · 30 local days, 2026-11-01 to 2026-11-30 · trading closes 11-30 03:00 (16 d)
- Model fair
- 301.6 ± 20.4
- priced 23 min ago
- Edge
- -23.0
- fair minus market
- Volume
- 638
- 13 traders
- Open interest
- 677 / 595
- long / short shares
Real-asset futures that follow this index
simulated pricesEach contract below is a commodity price index the demo simulates: 100 on the day it was listed, moved by this contract's GDD and by a simulated market factor. Weather-implied is the price at the index this market is trading at now; when it differs from the asset's own market price, simulated spread traders trade the two against each other.
| Contract | Market price | Weather-implied | Gap | Per 1% of index | Hedge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOYB-SAEZ-NOV26Soybeans | 101.70long 54¢ | 101.86 | -0.16 | -0.50% | 0.53 long per long share |
How the index builds, day by day
Each bar is one local day's contribution to the index. Days on the final record count as they stand; the rest are the model's estimate, with a whisker one standard deviation either way.
Day-by-day table
| Day | Source | High | Low | GDD | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1 | Final record | 22.0°C | 16.0°C | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| Mon, Nov 2 | Final record | 26.0°C | 16.0°C | 11.0 | 20.0 |
| Tue, Nov 3 | Final record | 23.0°C | 15.0°C | 9.0 | 29.0 |
| Wed, Nov 4 | Final record | 26.0°C | 15.0°C | 10.5 | 39.5 |
| Thu, Nov 5 | Recorded, not final | 27.0°C | 11.0°C | 9.0 ± 0.7 | 48.5 |
| Fri, Nov 6 | Final record | 25.0°C | 11.0°C | 8.0 | 56.5 |
| Sat, Nov 7 | Final record | 17.0°C | 7.0°C | 3.5 | 60.0 |
| Sun, Nov 8 | Final record | 23.0°C | 4.0°C | 6.5 | 66.5 |
| Mon, Nov 9 | Final record | 26.0°C | 7.0°C | 8.0 | 74.5 |
| Tue, Nov 10 | Final record | 25.0°C | 18.0°C | 11.5 | 86.0 |
| Wed, Nov 11 | Final record | 29.0°C | 17.0°C | 13.0 | 99.0 |
| Thu, Nov 12 | Final record | 31.0°C | 17.0°C | 13.5 | 112.5 |
| Fri, Nov 13 | Forecast | 28.0°C | 21.0°C | 14.4 ± 1.7 | 127.0 |
| Sat, Nov 14 | Forecast | 28.1°C | 19.8°C | 13.9 ± 1.7 | 140.8 |
| Sun, Nov 15 | Forecast | 24.6°C | 16.7°C | 10.7 ± 1.8 | 151.5 |
| Mon, Nov 16 | Forecast | 24.8°C | 19.4°C | 12.1 ± 1.9 | 163.6 |
| Tue, Nov 17 | Forecast | 27.5°C | 18.7°C | 13.0 ± 1.9 | 176.6 |
| Wed, Nov 18 | Forecast | 30.0°C | 18.6°C | 13.8 ± 1.7 | 190.4 |
| Thu, Nov 19 | Forecast | 29.1°C | 18.8°C | 13.6 ± 2.0 | 204.0 |
| Fri, Nov 20 | Forecast | 20.3°C | 14.8°C | 7.6 ± 2.5 | 211.6 |
| Sat, Nov 21 | Forecast | 24.5°C | 13.9°C | 9.3 ± 2.6 | 220.9 |
| Sun, Nov 22 | Forecast | 23.7°C | 18.6°C | 11.1 ± 3.0 | 232.0 |
| Mon, Nov 23 | Forecast | 22.5°C | 17.4°C | 9.9 ± 3.2 | 242.0 |
| Tue, Nov 24 | Forecast | 19.4°C | 14.2°C | 6.9 ± 3.2 | 248.9 |
| Wed, Nov 25 | Forecast | 20.6°C | 12.5°C | 6.9 ± 3.2 | 255.8 |
| Thu, Nov 26 | Forecast | 21.3°C | 12.8°C | 7.4 ± 3.4 | 263.2 |
| Fri, Nov 27 | Forecast | 25.5°C | 16.4°C | 10.8 ± 3.7 | 274.0 |
| Sat, Nov 28 | Forecast | 25.4°C | 16.5°C | 10.8 ± 3.8 | 284.8 |
| Sun, Nov 29 | Beyond the forecast | 21.3°C | 15.1°C | 8.4 ± 4.0 | 293.2 |
| Mon, Nov 30 | Beyond the forecast | 21.3°C | 15.1°C | 8.4 ± 4.0 | 301.6 |
Market index path
one step per trade · dashed line: model fair nowRecent trades
| Time | Trade | Shares | Amount | Avg price | Index after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 17:50 | Buy short | 87.95 | 40.46 | 46.0¢ | 324.6 |
| 11-13 15:50 | Buy short | 138.88 | 60.00 | 43.2¢ | 328.1 |
| 11-13 13:50 | Buy shortpair | 24.19 | 9.97 | 41.2¢ | 333.6 |
| 11-13 09:50 | Buy shortpair | 8.80 | 3.59 | 40.8¢ | 334.5 |
| 11-13 08:50 | Buy shortpair | 20.22 | 8.18 | 40.5¢ | 334.9 |
| 11-13 07:50 | Buy long | 32.62 | 19.37 | 59.4¢ | 335.6 |
| 11-13 05:50 | Buy shortpair | 14.97 | 6.11 | 40.8¢ | 334.4 |
| 11-13 04:50 | Buy long | 90.27 | 52.59 | 58.3¢ | 335.0 |
| 11-13 02:50 | Buy long | 28.91 | 16.42 | 56.8¢ | 331.5 |
| 11-13 01:50 | Buy shortpair | 21.42 | 9.27 | 43.3¢ | 330.3 |
| 11-13 01:50 | Buy long | 69.60 | 39.06 | 56.1¢ | 331.2 |
| 11-12 23:50 | Buy long | 68.94 | 37.51 | 54.4¢ | 328.4 |
| 11-12 22:50 | Buy long | 109.35 | 57.07 | 52.2¢ | 325.7 |
| 11-12 21:50 | Buy long | 121.69 | 60.00 | 49.3¢ | 321.3 |
| 11-12 19:50 | Buy short | 32.06 | 16.61 | 51.8¢ | 316.5 |
A trade marked pair is one leg of a simulated spread trade: the other leg is in a real-asset contract that follows this index.
Settlement
This contract settles on the sum of the station's daily records, as soon as the oracle marks all 30 days final and settleable - no earlier than 12-01 06:00. If a day of the period cannot settle, the contract is void and every position is refunded at cost.
Contract specification
- Symbol
- GDD-SAEZ-NOV26
- Index
- Growing degree days (GDD), in °C-days
- Formula
- (high + low) / 2 - 10 with both held to 10..30 °C, summed over the period
- Station
- SAEZ · Buenos Aires
- Period
- November 2026 · 30 local days, 2026-11-01 to 2026-11-30
- Band
- 240 to 400
- Payoff
- Long: (index - 240) / 160 sUSDT per share, held to 0..1. Short: 1 minus that.
- Point value
- 0.0063 sUSDT per share per index point
- Trading closes
- 2026-11-30 03:00 UTC
- Settles from
- 2026-12-01 06:00 UTC
- Settlement source
- The station's daily record, final and settleable, from the Weather Market oracle
- Hedges
- Agriculture - Soybeans, Corn, Wheat (the exposure it hedges; this contract settles on the index)
Long gains if GDD finishes above the level you pay for.
Virtual sUSDT only. No monetary value.
- Long gains when the index finishes higher, short when it finishes lower. A long and a short share together always pay 1 sUSDT.
- Outside the band 240 to 400 the contract pays as if the index had finished on the edge.
- You pay in full when you buy. What you paid is the most you can lose: no margin, no liquidation.
- You can sell back to the market maker at any time before trading closes, when the last day of the period begins.
- Void, with every position refunded at cost, if any day of the period cannot settle on the record.